The Ultimate Analysis of the Election and What Democrats Need to do Next

Since everyone has taken a shot at it, here’s mine. Donald Trump eked out almost a point and a half plurality over Kamala Harris. A margin this small can be explained by any number of factors. In no particular order: Some of those contain quite a bit, and I’v…
Mr. Normand Douglas · 3 days ago · 2 minutes read


The 2024 Election: A Multifaceted Analysis

Why Trump Won by a Hair

The 2024 election results were razor-thin, with Donald Trump securing a narrow victory over Kamala Harris. This slim margin can be attributed to a myriad of factors, including:

  • Trump's charisma and manipulative rhetoric
  • Underlying sexism and racism
  • Mistakes in the Harris campaign strategy
  • The controversial late anti-trans ads
  • Trump's sabotage of the immigration reform bill

Deconstructing the Results Incrementally

While each of these factors may have played a minor role, it's crucial to avoid oversimplifying the outcome by isolating individual elements. Instead, it's more accurate to view these factors as interconnected pieces of a larger puzzle.

Lessons for Democrats: Beware Incrementalism

James Carville and other Democratic strategists have suggested abandoning specific marginalized groups to gain votes. However, such an approach is risky and shortsighted. Instead, Democrats should embrace an inclusive and progressive platform that appeals to a broad range of voters.

The Promise of Grassroots Organizers

Instead of relying solely on strategists, Democrats should turn to grassroots organizers who have a proven track record of mobilizing voters. Candidates like Ben Wikler and Ken Martin, with their focus on unite and fight, offer hope for the future of the party.

"Unite. Fight. Win. I like that," says the author. "I also have always liked that the party in Minnesota is the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party."